Take for example the future of globalization: Will globalization thrive more than ever before fueled by the free flow of information and goods, and the rise of a new middle class in emerging economies? Or are we headed towards a post-global world, with more and more trade barriers, restricted flow of information, and diverging technological standards? Similarly, you will see highly polarized views on the outcome of major events like Brexit, the societal impact of digitalization, business impact of climate change, and so on. All this goes along with an increasing polarization of views and often the loss of a clear consensus on future business developments. We think these claims have never been more true than today, as we can see in an increasing number and degree of disruptions like political quarrels, trade conflicts, and environmental incidents. Many call it hyper VUCA (Volatility, Uncertainty, Complexity, Ambiguity), others see the world becoming more “hot, flat, and crowded”. Watching the daily news, we all sense the increasing volatility and uncertainty in today’s societies and business world. In an increasingly volatile and uncertain external environment, companies need to fundamentally re-think their value chain model, and move to resilient operations, anticipative planning, and adaptive value chain design.
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